Research on life cycle risk assessment of utility tunnel project base on AHP-Fuzzy

Zhang Xinwen

doi:10.19606/j.cnki.jmst.2022.03.013

Volume 7 Issue 3

Jun. 2022

Turn off MathJax

Article Contents

Article Navigation > Journal of Mining Science and Technology > 2022 > 7(3): 381-388

Zhang Xinwen. Research on life cycle risk assessment of utility tunnel project base on AHP-Fuzzy[J]. Journal of Mining Science and Technology, 2022, 7(3): 381-388. doi: 10.19606/j.cnki.jmst.2022.03.013

Citation:

PDF( 71872 KB)

Research on life cycle risk assessment of utility tunnel project base on AHP-Fuzzy

doi: 10.19606/j.cnki.jmst.2022.03.013

Zhang Xinwen

School of Mechanics and Civil Engineering, China University of Mining and Technology-Beijing, Beijing 100083

Received Date: 2021-11-03
Rev Recd Date: 2022-01-05
Publish Date: 2022-06-20

Abstract

Abstract

In order to comprehensively and objectively evaluate the risks faced by the underground comprehensive pipe corridor with large investment, wide coverage and long operation cycle, this paper takes a pipe corridor in Beijing as the object, based on the whole life cycle theory, identifies the risk factors in six stages of the whole life cycle of the pipe corridor, and establishes a risk index system consisting of 6 second-level and 43 third-level risk indicators. The comprehensive evaluation model of pipeline corridor risk based on AHP and Fuzzy was established, and the results were verified by weighted distribution method. The research results show that the overall risk of the whole life cycle of the studied pipe gallery belongs to the medium risk, of which the risk of abandonment stage is the highest, followed by construction and completion stage, operation stage, design stage, bidding stage and decision-making stage, and put forward targeted management measures.
- utility tunnel,
- risk evaluation,
- life cycle,
- comprehensive evaluation

FullText(HTML)

References(19)

References

[1]	张雷, 袁戟. 城市地下工程对周围建筑风险评价的价值模型[J]. 地下空间与工程学报, 2010, 6(5): 1098-1103. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-BASE201005043.htm Zhang Lei, Yuan Ji. Value model of risk assessmentabout construction around urban under ground project[J]. Chinese Journal of Underground Space and Engineering, 2010, 6(5): 1098-1103. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-BASE201005043.htm
[2]	刘玉梅, 郭海滨, 张程城, 等. 基于灰色聚类的地下综合管廊项目运营风险评价研究[J]. 价值工程, 2018, 37(26): 121-125. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-JZGC201826052.htm Liu Yumei, Guo Haibin, Zhang Chengcheng, et al. Study on operational risk evaluation of underground pipe gallery based on grey clustering[J]. Value Engineering, 2018, 37(26): 121-125. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-JZGC201826052.htm
[3]	张家颖, 马洪旺, 李富强, 等. 基于熵模型的城市地下综合管廊成本风险评估方法研究[J]. 价值工程, 2019, 38(24): 70-72. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-JZGC201924033.htm Zhang Jiaying, Ma Hongwang, Li Fuqiang, et al. Research on cost risk assessment method of urban underground integrated pipe gallery based on entropy model[J]. Value Engineering, 2019, 38(24): 70-72. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-JZGC201924033.htm
[4]	赵丹, 赵延超, 汪伦焰, 等. 城市地下综合管廊PPP项目融资风险评价研究[J]. 人民长江, 2018, 49(9): 71-75. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-RIVE201809013.htm Zhao Dan, Zhao Yanchao, Wang Lunyan, et al. Study on financing risk evaluation of PPP modein urban underground comprehensive corridor[J]. Yangtze River, 2018, 49(9): 71-75. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-RIVE201809013.htm
[5]	张宏建, 岑仰润, 熊晓亮, 等. 城市地下综合管廊建设中相关岩土工程问题的探讨[J]. 浙江建筑, 2016, 33(8): 13-17. doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1008-3707.2016.08.005 Zhang Hongjian, Cen Yangrun, Xiong Xiaoliang, et al. Discussion on the problems of the relevant geotechnical engineering in the construction of urban underground conprehensive pipe gallery[J]. Zhejiang Construction, 2016, 33(8): 13-17. doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1008-3707.2016.08.005
[6]	韦海民, 刘武岩. 城市综合管廊施工过程中的风险识别过滤研究[J]. 建筑技术, 2017, 48(9): 927-930. doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1000-4726.2017.09.007 Wei Haimin, Liu Wuyan. Identification and filtering of risk in process of urban utility tunnel construction[J]. Architecture Technology, 2017, 48(9): 927-930. doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1000-4726.2017.09.007
[7]	陈雍君, 李宏远, 汪雯娟, 等. 基于贝叶斯网络的综合管廊运维灾害风险分析[J]. 安全与环境学报, 2018, 18(6): 2109-2114. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-AQHJ201806010.htm Chen Yongjun, Li Hongyuan, Wang Wenjuan, et al. Disaster risk analysis of utilitytunnel operation and maintenance based on the Bayesian network[J]. Journal of Safety and Environment, 2018, 18(6): 2109-2114. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-AQHJ201806010.htm
[8]	王翔, 周诗雨, 郭一斌, 等. 基于结构方程的地下综合管廊火灾风险评价研究[J]. 消防科学与技术, 2021, 40(5): 688-691. doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1009-0029.2021.05.019 Wang Xiang, Zhou Shiyu, Guo Yibin, et al. Study on fire risk evaluation of underground utilitytunnel based on structural equation[J]. Fire Science and Technology, 2021, 40(5): 688-691. doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1009-0029.2021.05.019
[9]	张勇, 段乐婷, 张嘉琛. 湿陷性黄土地区综合管廊施工安全风险耦合模型及其验证分析[J]. 安全与环境学报, 2020, 20(5): 1645-1651. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-AQHJ202005005.htm Zhang Yong, Duan Leting, Zhang Jiachen. A safety risk coupling model of the utility tunnel construction in the collapsible loess area and its verification analysis[J]. Journal of Safety and Environment, 2020, 20(5): 1645-1651. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-AQHJ202005005.htm
[10]	舒畅, 刘凯, 刘士磊. 基于多级可拓PPP模式综合管廊融资风险综合评价[J]. 土木工程与管理学报, 2020, 37(5): 115-121, 136. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-WHCJ202005018.htm Shu Chang, Liu Kai, Liu Shilei. Comprehensive evaluation of financing risk of utility tunnel based on multi-level extension PPP model[J]. Journal of Civil Engineering and Management, 2020, 37(5): 115-121, 136. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-WHCJ202005018.htm
[11]	丁晓欣, 刘凯, 时淑君. 基于故障树模型的城市地下综合管廊应用PPP模式风险评价[J]. 土木工程与管理学报, 2020, 37(1): 8-15. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-WHCJ202001002.htm Ding Xiaoxin, Liu Kai, Shi Shujun. Risk assessment of PPP mode in urban underground utility tunnel enginee-ring application based on fault tree model[J]. Journal of Civil Engineering and Management, 2020, 37(1): 8-15. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-WHCJ202001002.htm
[12]	孙赫. 沈阳市南运河地下综合管廊建设项目风险管理研究[D]. 长春: 吉林大学, 2019.
[13]	宋雅璇, 陈侃. 城市地下综合管廊全生命周期风险评价研究[J]. 四川建材, 2019, 45(5): 240-242. doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1672-4011.2019.05.113 Song Yaxuan, Chen Kan. Study on life cycle risk assessment of urban underground comprehensive pipe gallery[J]. Sichuan Building Materials, 2019, 45(5): 240-242. doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1672-4011.2019.05.113
[14]	商冬凡, 苗雷强, 赵一凡, 等. 基于全寿命周期的地下综合管廊风险分析及防控措施研究[J]. 中国水运: 下半月, 2019, 19(2): 249-250. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-ZSUX201902117.htm Shang Dongfan, Miao Leiqiang, Zhao Yifan, et al. Research on risk analysis and prevention and control measures of underground comprehensive pipe gallery based on life cycle[J]. China Water Transport, 2019, 19(2): 249-250. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-ZSUX201902117.htm
[15]	石芮, 马力, 王淋. 基于SNA的地下综合管廊项目风险因素分析[J]. 项目管理技术, 2019, 17(2): 54-60. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-XMGJ201902009.htm Shi Rui, Ma Li, Wang Lin. Analysis on risk factors of underground comprehensive tunnel project based on SNA[J]. Project Management Technology, 2019, 17(2): 54-60. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-XMGJ201902009.htm
[16]	赵雪婷. 综合管廊全寿命周期风险及应对策略研究[D]. 西安: 西安建筑科技大学, 2017.
[17]	王璐. 我国城市地下综合管廊的发展研究[D]. 北京: 北京交通大学, 2018.
[18]	陈丽. 城市地下综合管廊运营阶段风险管理研究[J]. 现代建筑电气, 2019, 10(1): 48-52. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-XDJQ201901010.htm Chen Li. Research on risk management in operation stage of utility tunnel[J]. Modern Architecture Electric, 2019, 10(1): 48-52. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-XDJQ201901010.htm
[19]	张勇, 张然然. 地下综合管廊全寿命周期风险评估与分析[J]. 西安建筑科技大学学报: 自然科学版, 2019, 51(2): 294-300. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-XAJZ201902021.htm Zhang Yong, Zhang Ranran. Life-cycle risk assessment and analysis of underground comprehensive utility tunnel[J]. Journal of Xi'an University of Architecture & Technology: Natural Science Edition, 2019, 51(2): 294-300. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-XAJZ201902021.htm

Relative Articles

Supplements(0)

Cited By

Proportional views

Proportional views

通讯作者: 陈斌, bchen63@163.com

1.
沈阳化工大学材料科学与工程学院沈阳 110142

Tables(3)

Get Citation

PDF

XML

Article Metrics

Article views (320) PDF downloads(25)

Research on life cycle risk assessment of utility tunnel project base on AHP-Fuzzy

doi: 10.19606/j.cnki.jmst.2022.03.013

Abstract

References

Proportional views

Catalog

通讯作者: 陈斌, bchen63@163.com

Article Metrics

Proportional views

Export File

Citation

Format

Content