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中国煤炭工业高质量发展测度及耦合协调分析——基于2000—2019年数据的实证研究

杨跃翔 王锟桠 任蕾

杨跃翔, 王锟桠, 任蕾. 中国煤炭工业高质量发展测度及耦合协调分析——基于2000—2019年数据的实证研究[J]. 矿业科学学报, 2021, 6(6): 764-776. doi: 10.19606/j.cnki.jmst.2021.06.016
引用本文: 杨跃翔, 王锟桠, 任蕾. 中国煤炭工业高质量发展测度及耦合协调分析——基于2000—2019年数据的实证研究[J]. 矿业科学学报, 2021, 6(6): 764-776. doi: 10.19606/j.cnki.jmst.2021.06.016
Yang Yuexiang, Wang Kunya, Ren Lei. Evaluation and coupling coordination analysis of high quality development of China's coal industry: Empirical research based on data from 2000 to 2019[J]. Journal of Mining Science and Technology, 2021, 6(6): 764-776. doi: 10.19606/j.cnki.jmst.2021.06.016
Citation: Yang Yuexiang, Wang Kunya, Ren Lei. Evaluation and coupling coordination analysis of high quality development of China's coal industry: Empirical research based on data from 2000 to 2019[J]. Journal of Mining Science and Technology, 2021, 6(6): 764-776. doi: 10.19606/j.cnki.jmst.2021.06.016

中国煤炭工业高质量发展测度及耦合协调分析——基于2000—2019年数据的实证研究

doi: 10.19606/j.cnki.jmst.2021.06.016
基金项目: 

国家社会科学基金重大项目 18ZDA079

详细信息
    作者简介:

    杨跃翔(1976—),男,黑龙江拜泉人,研究员,博士,主要从事质量管理、安全管理等方面的研究工作。Tel: 13683376963,E-mail: yang_yuex@163.com

    通讯作者:

    任蕾(1997—),女,河北保定人,硕士研究生,主要从事产业高质量发展方面的研究工作。Tel: 15313736089,E-mail: ren_lei97@163.com

  • 中图分类号: F416.21

Evaluation and coupling coordination analysis of high quality development of China's coal industry: Empirical research based on data from 2000 to 2019

  • 摘要: 本文从经济效益、创新发展、集约发展、安全发展、绿色发展和高效发展6个维度构建了煤炭工业高质量发展评价指标体系,通过熵权法、理想点法(TOPSIS)和耦合协调度模型测度并深入分析了我国煤炭工业2000—2019年的高质量发展状况。结果表明:煤炭工业高质量发展成效显著,但产业规模与高质量发展水平呈现明显的不同步现象;在不同的发展阶段,煤炭工业高质量发展的主动力和“短板”有所不同;煤炭工业高质量发展的6个维度在研究期内均有不同程度上的提升,但绿色发展和高效发展的提升速度相对较慢;煤炭工业6维度发展耦合协调度稳定上升,但尚未进入“优质协调发展”阶段,协调发展水平有待提升。
  • 图  1  煤炭工业高质量发展指数与发展规模对比分析

    Figure  1.  Comparative analysis of high quality development index and development scale of coal industry

    图  2  煤炭工业高质量发展分维度发展指数变动情况

    Figure  2.  Changes in development index of high-quality development dimensions of coal industry

    图  3  煤炭工业高质量发展6维度耦合协调度与高质量发展对比

    Figure  3.  Comparison between coupling coordination degrees of six dimensions and high quality development of coal industry

    表  1  煤炭工业高质量发展水平评价体系

    Table  1.   Evaluation system for high quality development level of coal industry

    一级指标 二级指标 序号 三级指标 单位 指标属性
    经济效益 偿债能力 1 总资产负债率=负债总额/资产总额 % -
    盈利能力 2 成本费用利润率=利润总额/成本费用总额 % +
    3 总资产利润率=利润总额/资产平均总额 % +
    创新发展 创新投入 4 研发经费投入强度=研究与开发(R & D)经费支出/主营业务收入 % +
    5 研发人员投入强度=研发员工数量/员工总数 % +
    创新成果 6 人均有效发明专利数=有效发明专利数/研发人员数量 项/人 +
    7 新产品开发投入产出比=新产品销售收入/新产品开发经费支出 % +
    集约发展 产能集约 8 产能集约指数=大型煤矿产量/原煤总产量 % +
    产业集约 9 产业集中度=大中型企业主营业务收入/规模以上企业主营业务收入 % +
    安全发展 生产安全 10 煤矿百万吨死亡率=因工死亡的职工人数/原煤生产量(百万吨) 人/百万吨 -
    11 煤炭百万吨员工数=煤炭工业员工数/原煤总产量 人/吨 -
    职业健康 12 矿工尘肺病比重=矿工尘肺病病例数/职业性尘肺病病例数 % -
    绿色发展 绿色生产 13 废水排放率=废水排放量/原煤总产量 % -
    14 固体废弃物排放率=固体废弃物产生量/原煤总产量 % -
    15 废气排放率=废气排放量/原煤总产量 % -
    16 吨原煤生产综合能耗=能源消耗总量/原煤总产量 千克标准煤/吨 -
    绿色治理 17 矿山治理资金投入比重=矿山恢复治理资金投入/主营业务收入 % +
    绿色利用 18 煤层气(煤矿瓦斯)利用率=煤层气利用量/煤层气生产量 % +
    19 矿井水利用率=矿井水利用量/矿井水产生量 % +
    20 煤矸石利用率=煤矸石利用量/煤矸石生产量 % +
    21 原煤入选率=入选原煤量/原煤产出量 % +
    高效发展 资本效率 22 吨煤成本=主营业务成本/原煤总产量 元/吨 -
    劳动效率 23 全员劳动工效=原煤生产量/员工总数 吨/人 +
    技术效率 24 大型煤炭企业采煤机械化程度=机械装备采出煤量/原煤总产量 % +
    注:“+”表示正向指标,“-”表示逆向指标。
    下载: 导出CSV

    表  2  耦合协调度(D)等级划分

    Table  2.   Classification of coupling coordination degree (D)

    区间 耦合协调度(D) 协调等级
    不可接受区间 (0,0.1] 极度失调衰退型
    (0.1,0.2] 重度失调衰退型
    (0.2,0.3] 中度失调衰退型
    (0.3,0.4] 轻度失调衰退型
    过渡区间 (0.4,0.5] 濒临失调衰退型
    (0.5,0.6] 勉强协调发展型
    可接受区间 (0.6,0.7] 初级协调发展型
    (0.7,0.8] 中级协调发展型
    (0.8,9] 良好协调发展型
    (0.9,1] 优质协调发展型
    下载: 导出CSV

    表  3  2000—2019年煤炭工业高质量发展指数

    Table  3.   High quality development index of coal industry from 2000 to 2019

    年份 煤炭工业综合发展指数 年份 煤炭工业综合发展指数
    2000 0.212 2 2010 0.301 8
    2001 0.154 3 2011 0.302 6
    2002 0.157 0 2012 0.312 3
    2003 0.182 1 2013 0.267 7
    2004 0.204 8 2014 0.299 9
    2005 0.219 4 2015 0.385 5
    2006 0.221 8 2016 0.467 8
    2007 0.231 3 2017 0.562 3
    2008 0.287 4 2018 0.711 7
    2009 0.284 9 2019 0.820 0
    下载: 导出CSV

    表  4  煤炭工业分维度发展阶段和变化

    Table  4.   Changes in the development stages of coal industry in different dimensions

    发展阶段 指数 经济效益 创新发展 集约发展 安全发展 绿色发展 高效发展
    第一阶段
    (2000—2012年)
    期初值 0.023 5 0.156 2 0.045 7 0.137 4 0.315 3 0.469 0
    期末值 0.649 8 0.204 0 0.689 5 0.757 9 0.479 2 0.276 8
    年均增长率/% 31.88 2.25 25.37 15.29 3.55 -4.30
    第二阶段
    (2013—2016年)
    期初值 0.649 8 0.204 0 0.689 5 0.757 9 0.479 2 0.276 8
    期末值 0.196 9 0.453 1 0.886 3 0.779 8 0.571 0 0.463 8
    年均增长率/% -25.80 22.07 6.48 0.72 4.48 13.78
    第三阶段
    (2017—2019年)
    期初值 0.196 9 0.453 1 0.886 3 0.779 8 0.571 0 0.463 8
    期末值 0.489 3 0.932 5 0.936 9 0.848 7 0.668 4 0.756 1
    年均增长率/% 35.44 27.20 1.87 2.86 5.39 17.69
    研究期
    (2000—2019年)
    期初值 0.023 5 0.156 2 0.045 7 0.137 4 0.315 3 0.469 0
    期末值 0.489 3 0.932 5 0.936 9 0.848 7 0.668 4 0.756 1
    年均增长率/% 17.33 9.86 17.23 10.06 4.03 2.55
    下载: 导出CSV

    表  5  2000—2019年煤炭工业6维度发展耦合协调水平及类型

    Table  5.   The level and type of coupling coordination of six dimensions development of coal industry from 2000 to 2019

    年份 耦合度(C) 耦合协调度(D) 耦合发展类型
    2000 0.641 6 0.379 7 轻度失调衰退型
    2001 0.781 4 0.376 9 轻度失调衰退型
    2002 0.835 8 0.407 5 濒临失调衰退型
    2003 0.867 5 0.471 4 濒临失调衰退型
    2004 0.864 0 0.519 0 勉强协调发展型
    2005 0.830 2 0.532 7 勉强协调发展型
    2006 0.856 3 0.552 3 勉强协调发展型
    2007 0.815 9 0.550 9 勉强协调发展型
    2008 0.814 4 0.592 1 勉强协调发展型
    2009 0.857 7 0.629 7 初级协调发展型
    2010 0.832 2 0.628 1 初级协调发展型
    2011 0.837 1 0.622 8 初级协调发展型
    2012 0.898 2 0.643 0 初级协调发展型
    2013 0.870 6 0.616 4 初级协调发展型
    2014 0.866 8 0.628 1 初级协调发展型
    2015 0.774 6 0.623 4 初级协调发展型
    2016 0.901 9 0.697 4 初级协调发展型
    2017 0.972 0 0.791 6 中级协调发展型
    2018 0.975 1 0.825 7 良好协调发展型
    2019 0.976 3 0.829 7 良好协调发展型
    下载: 导出CSV
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  • 收稿日期:  2021-05-13
  • 修回日期:  2021-06-24
  • 刊出日期:  2021-12-01

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