矿工不安全行为组织干预时效性研究
Timeliness analysis on organization intervention of miners’unsafe behavior
-
摘要: 为了探究矿工不安全行为组织干预效果,深入分析其时效性,结合煤矿实际建立了涵盖整个煤矿系统的组织干预系统.在分析矿工不安全行为组织干预策略因果关系的基础上,以系统动力学理论和方法为基础,构建了矿工不安全行为组织干预系统动力学模型.采用Vensim仿真软件进行了不同时长以及不同干预系数下的动态模拟仿真,并通过对比仿真结果与某矿实际违章统计数据,验证了结论的客观性.结果表明:组织行为干预方法在短期内效果明显,但无法使不安全行为水平在较长时间内持续降低.通过不断优化干预措施,提高干预强度,将显著提高组织干预时效性.Abstract: In order to investigate the effect and the timeliness of the organization intervention of miners’ unsafe behavior, the organizational intervention system which covers the entire coal mine system was constructed combining with the actual coal mine. The system dynamics model of organization intervention of miners’ unsafe behavior was constructed based on the analysis of miners unsafe behavior organization intervention method set and the principle of system dynamic. Dynamic simulation with different length and different intervention coefficients was carried out by using Vensim simulation software. At the same time, the objective of the conclusion was verified by comparing the simulation results with the actual data. The result shows that the effect of organizational intervention is obvious in the short term, however, it can not make the level of unsafe behavior continue to reduce in a longer period of time. The effectiveness of organizational intervention will be significantly improved through continuous optimizing intervention measures and improving the intensity of intervention.