Abstract: The subsidence prediction method is very important for predicting the negative impact induced by coal mining.Probability integral method is an important method for mining subsidence prediction, but for irregular working face mining, its prediction accuracy needs to be improved.Aiming at this problem, the Green formula was used in this paper to transform the formula of the probability integration method, and convert the integration of the working face to the line integration of the boundary of the mining area; the boundary of working face was simplified and divided into multiple straight line segments, and each straight line segment was integrated separately; the prediction of the movement and deformation of any point on the surface and the surface subsidence basin was completed through superposition calculation; finally, an application study was carried out based on a certain example, which verified effectiveness of the method in this paper.Compared with the result of the probability integration method, the prediction accuracy of the line integral proposed in this paper was improved by 23 %.